Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Forex: Dollar mixed pointing for more gains

Dollar closed he day mixed against major rivals, mostly gaining ground on fears about economic recovery. With Wall Street down, local shares are expected to fall also, thus limited mostly a consolidative day; watch Nikkei 225 key 10.000 points support level, as under that, risk aversion could gain strength and be reflected across the board. Euro started the day under 1.4600 level, 38.2% retracement of 1.4190/1.4842, with the 50% of that rally around 1.4510, next key support level to watch.

Under that zone, pair could reach key 1.4450 static area, also close to the 61.8% of the mentioned rally. GBP managed to close the day to the upside, yet movement remains mostly corrective after almost 700 pips straight fall in 4 days. As long as under 1.6060, bearish trend remain intact; corrections could even extend to the 1.6110 area, but price should retreat strongly from that zone, to consider bearish trend still healthy.

EUR/USD Current Price: 1.4588

EUR/USD Current Price: 1.4588. Slowly regaining the upside, pair remains capped under the 38.2% retracement of the last daily up leg 1.4190/1.4842, around 1.4600. with hourly charts slightly bullish, pair needs to clearly confirm above that level to extend the upside rally, thus next strong resistance area came around 1.4650; if the last gives up, pair could regain previous day bullish strength.

Under 1.4550 static support zone, next support came at 1.4515 area, 61.8% of the mentioned rally. Nikkei 225 opened up 0.1% and quickly turned to negative territory, limiting pair rises. “Price broke above 20 SMA yet it still has a bearish slope, while in bigger time frames pair is well under the indicator, yet with no clear bias for next hours,” said Valeria Bednarik, collaborator at FXstreet.com.
Support levels: 1.4555 1.4510 1.4480. Resistance levels: 1.4610 1.4645 1.4680